Palencia CF vs Arandina: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Arandina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palencia CF wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palencia CF vs Arandina?
On Elo ratings, Palencia CF has 1,831 points and Arandina 1,732.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palencia CF vs Arandina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palencia CF
Not enough data to predict the Palencia CF lineup.
Arandina
Not enough data to predict the Arandina lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 12:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arandina have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Turégano(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bembibre(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turégano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Palencia CF wins, 1 draw, 3 Arandina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Arandina 0-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Palencia CF 4-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 11, 2025 | Palencia CF 1-2 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Arandina 3-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Arandina 1-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Palencia CF 1-2 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Arandina vs Palencia CF on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palencia CF score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arandina score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palencia CF | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Arandina | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palencia CF sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (14 points from 9 matches) and Arandina sit 12th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Palencia CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 12 | Arandina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Palencia CF vs Arandina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Arandina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Arandina.
- Where and when is Palencia CF vs Arandina played?
- Palencia CF vs Arandina is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 25, 2027Colegios DiocesanosvsVillaralbo
- Apr 25, 2027TuréganovsMirandés II
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