Match

Salamanca II vs Bembibre: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca

Salamanca IIBembibre

The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salamanca II vs Bembibre?

Salamanca II starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,655).

Salamanca II win55 %
Draw25 %
Bembibre win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bembibre have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salamanca II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2023Real Ávila(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023Unami(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023Ponferradina II(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023Arandina(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023Atlético Astorga(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Palencia CF(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Becerril Campos(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Arandina(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Salamanca II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bembibre win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 18, 2023Bembibre 1-2 Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 16, 2022Salamanca II 2-1 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2022Salamanca II 2-1 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 20, 2021Bembibre 1-2 Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 14, 2021Bembibre 2-2 Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 19, 2020Salamanca II 1-1 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Salamanca II on Feb 18, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salamanca II1.30.775/157/15
Bembibre1.31.659/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Bembibre3481016385234

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salamanca II vs Bembibre?
The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Salamanca II vs Bembibre played?
Salamanca II vs Bembibre is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Salamanca II and Bembibre

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