Match

UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 · Matchday 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, Santa Marta de Tormes

UD Santa MartaGuijuelo

The Footlab AI model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Guijuelo. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,335 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo?

On Elo ratings, UD Santa Marta has 1,947 points and Guijuelo 1,907.

53%27%20%
UD Santa Marta winDrawGuijuelo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

UD Santa Marta

Not enough data to predict the UD Santa Marta lineup.

Guijuelo

4-2-3-1
  1. 19C. Godson
  1. 4David Rosón
  2. 14A. Martin
  3. 6H. G. Parra
  4. 7H. Garcia
  5. 27C. Herrera Gonzalez
  1. 5J. Ruiz
  2. 23D. Sanz
  3. 2J. Boigues
  4. 3R. Florez
  1. 13J. Guzman

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Santa Marta have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Guijuelo have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Santa Marta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Turégano(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 7, 2026Calasanz de Soria(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 31, 2026Salamanca II(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 24, 2026Almazán(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 18, 2026Mirandés II(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 7, 2026Villaralbo(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 1, 2026Arandina(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 29, 2026Sporting Gijon(home)1-3Copa del Rey
Oct 25, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UD Santa Marta win, 2 draws, 3 Guijuelo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Guijuelo 2-0 UD Santa MartaTercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 16, 2026UD Santa Marta 1-1 GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 31, 2026UD Santa Marta 1-0 GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 20, 2025Guijuelo 1-1 UD Santa MartaTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Aug 7, 2022UD Santa Marta 0-1 GuijueloFriendlies Clubs
Mar 19, 2022UD Santa Marta 0-1 GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Guijuelo vs UD Santa Marta on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

UD Santa Marta score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guijuelo score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UD Santa Marta1.60.786/157/15
Guijuelo1.51.529/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UD Santa Marta sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (26 points from 11 matches) and Guijuelo sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1UD Santa Marta1182119626
7Guijuelo10514181116

A question about UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo?
The Footlab AI model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Guijuelo.
Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo played?
UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: UD Santa Marta and Guijuelo