Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo played?

UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, Santa Marta de Tormes

UD Santa Marta

Guijuelo

The Footlab model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Guijuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate UD Santa Marta (1,805) and Guijuelo (1,845).

UD Santa Marta win45 %

Draw27 %

Guijuelo win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Santa Marta have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Guijuelo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Santa Marta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 16, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Guijuelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Unionistas II(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	Ribert(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UD Santa Marta win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Guijuelo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Guijuelo 2-0 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 16, 2026	UD Santa Marta 1-1 Guijuelo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 31, 2026	UD Santa Marta 1-0 Guijuelo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 20, 2025	Guijuelo 1-1 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Aug 7, 2022	UD Santa Marta 0-1 Guijuelo	Friendlies Clubs
Mar 19, 2022	UD Santa Marta 0-1 Guijuelo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Guijuelo vs UD Santa Marta on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

UD Santa Marta score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
UD Santa Marta	1.5	1.3	2	11/15	8/15
Guijuelo	1.7	1.3	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UD Santa Marta sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (62 points from 34 matches) and Guijuelo sit 2nd (70 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Guijuelo	34	21	7	6	54	26	70
5	UD Santa Marta	34	18	8	8	53	31	62

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo?: The Footlab model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Guijuelo.
Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo played?: UD Santa Marta vs Guijuelo is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.