Almazán vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán
The Footlab AI model makes Almazán the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almazán wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 3,334 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almazán vs Atlético Mansillés?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Almazán (1,780) and Atlético Mansillés (1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almazán vs Atlético Mansillés
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almazán
Not enough data to predict the Almazán lineup.
Atlético Mansillés
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Mansillés lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 12:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bembibre(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Almazán wins, 1 draw, 3 Atlético Mansillés wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Almazán 0-1 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 1-0 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Almazán 1-1 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Atlético Mansillés 2-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Almazán vs Atlético Mansillés on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almazán score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mansillés score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almazán | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlético Mansillés | 1.2 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almazán sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (10 points from 8 matches) and Atlético Mansillés sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atlético Mansillés | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Almazán | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Almazán vs Atlético Mansillés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almazán vs Atlético Mansillés?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almazán the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Mansillés.
- Where and when is Almazán vs Atlético Mansillés played?
- Almazán vs Atlético Mansillés is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027Burgos PromesasvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Apr 25, 2027Cultural Leonesa IIvsUnionistas II
- Apr 25, 2027Salamanca IIvsBembibre
- Apr 25, 2027UD Santa MartavsGuijuelo
- Apr 25, 2027Colegios DiocesanosvsVillaralbo
- Apr 25, 2027Palencia CFvsArandina
- Apr 25, 2027TuréganovsMirandés II
- Apr 25, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsCristo Atlético