Where and when is Palencia CF vs Cultural Leonesa II played?

Palencia CF vs Cultural Leonesa II is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Palencia CF vs Cultural Leonesa II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Palencia CF

Cultural Leonesa II

The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Cultural Leonesa II. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Palencia CF vs Cultural Leonesa II?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Palencia CF (1,808) and Cultural Leonesa II (1,745).

Palencia CF win65 %

Draw21 %

Cultural Leonesa II win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Cultural Leonesa II have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Palencia CF
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Cristo Atlético(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Cultural Leonesa II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Numancia II(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Palencia CF win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Cultural Leonesa II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II 2-2 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 12, 2025	Palencia CF 3-2 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 8, 2025	Palencia CF 1-1 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 23, 2024	Cultural Leonesa II 1-1 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 27, 2024	Cultural Leonesa II 3-0 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 16, 2023	Palencia CF 0-3 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Cultural Leonesa II vs Palencia CF on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Palencia CF	1.7	1.5	2	11/15	10/15
Cultural Leonesa II	1.3	1.5	5	5/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Palencia CF sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (64 points from 34 matches) and Cultural Leonesa II sit 10th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Palencia CF	34	20	4	10	59	39	64
10	Cultural Leonesa II	34	12	6	16	38	43	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Cultural Leonesa II?: The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Cultural Leonesa II.
Where and when is Palencia CF vs Cultural Leonesa II played?: Palencia CF vs Cultural Leonesa II is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.