Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,781) and Cristo Atlético (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Mojados(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Atlético Mansillés win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cristo Atlético win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 0-2 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Cristo Atlético 1-2 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Atlético Mansillés 1-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Cristo Atlético 3-0 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mansillés | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Cristo Atlético | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Mansillés sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (57 points from 34 matches) and Cristo Atlético sit 3rd (68 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cristo Atlético | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 68 |
| 6 | Atlético Mansillés | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético?
- The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Mansillés.
- Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético played?
- Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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