Match

Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas

Atlético MansillésCristo Atlético

The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,781) and Cristo Atlético (1,862).

Atlético Mansillés win30 %
Draw32 %
Cristo Atlético win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Mansillés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Mojados(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Almazán(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026Almazán(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Palencia CF(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Cristo Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Laredo(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Palencia CF(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Palencia CF(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Atlético Mansillés win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cristo Atlético win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Atlético Mansillés 0-2 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 5, 2025Cristo Atlético 1-2 Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 17, 2025Atlético Mansillés 1-1 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 30, 2024Cristo Atlético 3-0 Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Mansillés0.90.975/153/15
Cristo Atlético1.50.858/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Mansillés sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (57 points from 34 matches) and Cristo Atlético sit 3rd (68 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cristo Atlético342158482468
6Atlético Mansillés3415127312757

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético?
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Mansillés.
Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético played?
Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Mansillés and Cristo Atlético

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