Palencia CF vs Guijuelo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Guijuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palencia CF vs Guijuelo?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Palencia CF (1,808) and Guijuelo (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Guijuelo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 31, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 23, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ribert(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Palencia CF win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Guijuelo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Guijuelo 1-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 31, 2026 | Palencia CF 2-3 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Palencia CF 1-2 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Guijuelo 2-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Palencia CF 3-2 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Guijuelo 5-0 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Guijuelo vs Palencia CF on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palencia CF | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Guijuelo | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palencia CF sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (64 points from 34 matches) and Guijuelo sit 2nd (70 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 70 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 64 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Guijuelo?
- The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Guijuelo.
- Where and when is Palencia CF vs Guijuelo played?
- Palencia CF vs Guijuelo is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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