Palencia CF vs Guijuelo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Guijuelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palencia CF wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palencia CF vs Guijuelo?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Palencia CF (1,852) and Guijuelo (1,874).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palencia CF vs Guijuelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palencia CF
Not enough data to predict the Palencia CF lineup.
Guijuelo
Not enough data to predict the Guijuelo lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Guijuelo have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Turégano(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Palencia CF wins, 0 draws, 4 Guijuelo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Guijuelo 1-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 31, 2026 | Palencia CF 2-3 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Palencia CF 1-2 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Guijuelo 2-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Palencia CF 3-2 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Guijuelo 5-0 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Guijuelo vs Palencia CF on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guijuelo score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palencia CF | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Guijuelo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palencia CF sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (14 points from 8 matches) and Guijuelo sit 8th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Palencia CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Guijuelo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
A question about Palencia CF vs Guijuelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Guijuelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Guijuelo.
- Where and when is Palencia CF vs Guijuelo played?
- Palencia CF vs Guijuelo is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026AlmazánvsTurégano
- Nov 22, 2026ArandinavsMirandés II
- Nov 22, 2026Burgos PromesasvsBembibre
- Nov 22, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsAtlético Mansillés
- Nov 22, 2026Salamanca IIvsCalasanz de Soria
- Nov 22, 2026UD Santa MartavsCristo Atlético
- Nov 22, 2026Colegios DiocesanosvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Nov 22, 2026VillaralbovsUnionistas II