Match

Palencia CF vs Guijuelo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Palencia CFGuijuelo

The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Guijuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Palencia CF vs Guijuelo?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Palencia CF (1,808) and Guijuelo (1,848).

Palencia CF win45 %
Draw26 %
Guijuelo win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Guijuelo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Palencia CF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Guijuelo(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Cristo Atlético(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026Ribert(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Tamaraceite(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Palencia CF win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Guijuelo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Guijuelo 1-2 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026Palencia CF 2-3 GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 28, 2026Palencia CF 1-2 GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 19, 2025Guijuelo 2-1 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 6, 2022Palencia CF 3-2 GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 2, 2021Guijuelo 5-0 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Guijuelo vs Palencia CF on Jun 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Palencia CF1.71.5211/1510/15
Guijuelo1.71.3410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Palencia CF sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (64 points from 34 matches) and Guijuelo sit 2nd (70 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Guijuelo342176542670
4Palencia CF3420410593964

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Guijuelo?
The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Guijuelo.
Where and when is Palencia CF vs Guijuelo played?
Palencia CF vs Guijuelo is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Palencia CF and Guijuelo

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