Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on July 20, 2025 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG?
Palmeiras won 3-2 on July 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 33′Lucas EvangelistaPalmeiras
- 42′HulkAtletico-MG
- 51′J. AlonsoPalmeiras (o.g.)
- 77′MaurícioPalmeiras
- 90′HulkAtletico-MG
Official lineup for Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Palmeiras
4-3-3- 7Felipe Anderson
- 9Vitor Roque
- 17F. Torres
- 18Maurício
- 5A. Moreno
- 30Lucas Evangelista
- 22J. Piquerez
- 3Bruno Fuchs
- 15G. Gómez
- 4A. Giay
- 21Weverton
Atletico-MG
4-4-2- 33Rony
- 7Hulk
- 17Igor Gomes
- 25Gabriel Menino
- 21A. Franco
- 10Gustavo Scarpa
- 13Guilherme Arana
- 6J. Alonso
- 4Lyanco
- 2Natanael
- 22Everson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palmeiras have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico-MG have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 1-2 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Inter Miami(away) | 2-2 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Al Ahly(home) | 2-0 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2025 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Internacional(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Ceara(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2025 | Cienciano(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Palmeiras wins, 2 draws, 1 Atletico-MG win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Palmeiras 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Atletico-MG 0-4 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Palmeiras 0-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2023 | Palmeiras 0-0 Atletico-MG | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 3, 2023 | Atletico-MG 0-1 Palmeiras | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 28, 2023 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Palmeiras | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG on Sep 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Palmeiras score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palmeiras sit 2nd in Serie A (66 points from 31 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 6th (50 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 66 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
A question about Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy