Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, Athína (Athens)
The Footlab AI model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for CSKA Sofia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Panathinaikos starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (2,165 vs 1,944).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Panathinaikos
4-4-2- 7A. Tetteh
- 21A. Ounahi
- 22E. Camara
- 10Santino Andino
- 20V. Taborda
- 26I. Louza
- 55R. van Drongelen
- 77G. Kiriakopoulos
- 6S. de Vrij
- 2D. Calabria
- 1Iñaki Peña
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2- 28I. Pittas
- 10J. Zwarts
- 7M. Ebong
- 8S. Sensi
- 6Bruno Jordão
- 99J. Eto'o
- 14T. Ivanov
- 17Á. Martino
- 2Pastor
- 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panathinaikos have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; CSKA Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 4-2 | Super Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Panathinaikos score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| CSKA Sofia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for CSKA Sofia.
- Where and when is Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia played?
- Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia is played on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.