Panathinaikos vs Sturm Graz: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 27, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, Athína (Athens)
Full time
What was the result of Panathinaikos vs Sturm Graz?
Panathinaikos won 2-1 on November 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′K. ŚwiderskiPanathinaikos
- 34′O. KiteishviliSturm Graz
- 74′D. CalabriaPanathinaikos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panathinaikos have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Sturm Graz have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Panserraikos(away) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | PAOK(home) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Malmo FF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Volos NFC(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Atromitos(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lask Linz(home) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Admira Wacker(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Panathinaikos score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sturm Graz | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panathinaikos sit 20th in UEFA Europa League (12 points from 8 matches) and Sturm Graz sit 26th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy