Panthere Noir vs Kayanza United: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Panthere Noir the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Kayanza United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panthere Noir vs Kayanza United?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Panthere Noir (1,425) and Kayanza United (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Panthere Noir have 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Kayanza United have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Panthere Noir score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 2; Kayanza United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthere Noir | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 1/2 |
| Kayanza United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panthere Noir sit 12th in Ligue A (1 points from 2 matches) and Kayanza United sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kayanza United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Panthere Noir | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panthere Noir vs Kayanza United?
- The Footlab model makes Panthere Noir the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Kayanza United.
- Where and when is Panthere Noir vs Kayanza United played?
- Panthere Noir vs Kayanza United is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.