Musongati vs Ngozi City: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ingoma, Gitega
The Footlab model makes Musongati the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Ngozi City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Musongati vs Ngozi City?
Musongati starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,654 vs 1,431).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Musongati have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ngozi City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rukinzo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Royal Vision(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ngozi City(away) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Inter Star(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Young Star(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 0-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 2-4 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Musongati win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ngozi City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ngozi City 2-4 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Musongati 1-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Ngozi City 1-0 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Musongati 2-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Ngozi City 0-2 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Sep 25, 2019 | Musongati 3-1 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Ngozi City vs Musongati on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Musongati score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ngozi City score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musongati | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ngozi City | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Musongati sit 13th in Ligue A (1 points from 2 matches) and Ngozi City sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ngozi City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Musongati | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Musongati vs Ngozi City?
- The Footlab model makes Musongati the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Ngozi City.
- Where and when is Musongati vs Ngozi City played?
- Musongati vs Ngozi City is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ingoma, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.