Muzinga vs Rukinzo: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stade Intwari, Bujumbura
The Footlab AI model makes Rukinzo the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Muzinga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rukinzo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muzinga vs Rukinzo?
Rukinzo starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,603 vs 1,458).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Muzinga vs Rukinzo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Muzinga
Not enough data to predict the Muzinga lineup.
Rukinzo
4-3-3- 25Issa Bigirimana
- 5A. Habimana
- 10D. Maniriho
- 11B. Rukundo
- 8D. Ntibazonkiza
- 28J. Petit Nzeyimana
- 24D. Nzeyimana
- 2A. Nzigiyimana
- 15P. Mutimana
- 19A. Icoyitungiye
- 23Y. Rugumandiye
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muzinga have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rukinzo have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Panthere Noir(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Young Star(home) | 7-0 | Ligue A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 1-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Muzinga win, 2 draws, 1 Rukinzo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Muzinga 1-1 Rukinzo | Ligue A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Rukinzo 0-2 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Rukinzo 3-1 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Muzinga 1-1 Rukinzo | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Muzinga score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rukinzo score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muzinga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Rukinzo | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Muzinga sit 2nd in Ligue A (10 points from 5 matches) and Rukinzo sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Muzinga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Rukinzo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
A question about Muzinga vs Rukinzo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muzinga vs Rukinzo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rukinzo the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Muzinga.
- Where and when is Muzinga vs Rukinzo played?
- Muzinga vs Rukinzo is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stade Intwari, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.