Paraguay vs Ecuador: result 2-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on March 23, 2017 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Aranda, Ciudad del Este
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What was the result of Paraguay vs Ecuador?
Paraguay won 2-1 on March 23, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 12′B. ValdezParaguay
- 65′J. AlonsoParaguay
- 70′F. CaicedoEcuador (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paraguay have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ecuador have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | Bolivia(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 10, 2016 | Peru(home) | 1-4 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Argentina(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 6, 2016 | Colombia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 6, 2016 | Uruguay(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2017 | Honduras(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2016 | Venezuela(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 10, 2016 | Uruguay(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Bolivia(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 6, 2016 | Chile(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Paraguay win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ecuador win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | Ecuador 2-2 Paraguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Paraguay score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paraguay sit 6th in World Cup - Qualification South America (28 points from 18 matches) and Ecuador sit 2nd (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Paraguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy