Uruguay vs Brazil: result 1-4 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on March 23, 2017 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Uruguay vs Brazil?
Brazil won 1-4 on March 23, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 9′E. CavaniUruguay (pen.)
- 19′PaulinhoBrazil
- 52′PaulinhoBrazil
- 74′NeymarBrazil
- 90′PaulinhoBrazil
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uruguay have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Brazil have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | Chile(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 10, 2016 | Ecuador(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Colombia(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 6, 2016 | Venezuela(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 6, 2016 | Paraguay(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | Colombia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2016 | Peru(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 10, 2016 | Argentina(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 12, 2016 | Venezuela(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 7, 2016 | Bolivia(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Uruguay win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Brazil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | Brazil 2-2 Uruguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 26, 2013 | Brazil 2-1 Uruguay | Confederations Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Uruguay score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Brazil score 2.4 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Brazil | 2.4 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uruguay sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification South America (28 points from 18 matches) and Brazil sit 5th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy