Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano
The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Parceiro Nagano (1,597) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-6 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Gainare Tottori 2-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Gainare Tottori 2-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Parceiro Nagano 0-2 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Gainare Tottori 2-3 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Parceiro Nagano 2-2 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Parceiro Nagano score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.8 | 1.4 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori played?
- Parceiro Nagano vs Gainare Tottori is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 13, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsKanazawa
- Mar 13, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsKochi United
- Mar 13, 2027Ehime FCvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Mar 13, 2027Thespakusatsu GunmavsFC Gifu
- Mar 13, 2027KitakyushuvsSagamihara
- Mar 13, 2027FC RyukyuvsOsaka
- Mar 13, 2027Fukushima UnitedvsKagoshima United