Match

Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

KitakyushuSagamihara

The Footlab AI model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sagamihara wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara?

Sagamihara starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,808 vs 1,676).

33%25%42%
Kitakyushu winDrawSagamihara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kitakyushu

4-3-3
  1. 11Koh Seung-Jin
  2. 37K. Yoshida
  3. 52M. Nishimura
  1. 66D. Takahashi
  2. 18S. Hiramatsu
  3. 51Yutaro Sakashita
  1. 3R. Kamihashi
  2. 28K. Yokokubo
  3. 30K. Fukumori
  4. 20S. Yasumitsu
  1. 31K. Otani

Sagamihara

4-3-3
  1. 9K. Sasaki
  2. 15T. Maeda
  3. 3K. Pytlik
  1. 10R. Nakayama
  2. 24R. Sugimoto
  3. 8Kosuke Kambe
  1. 4T. Shimakawa
  2. 13M. Tokida
  3. 2K. Watahiki
  4. 19S. Okita
  1. 21Kim Min-Ho

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Osaka(home)3-1J3 League
Oct 10, 2026Nara Club(away)0-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Kochi United(home)2-0J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)1-3J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-1J3 League
Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)2-0J3 League
Oct 9, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)3-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Osaka(home)1-0J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)2-2J3 League
Sep 20, 2026Kitakyushu(home)1-2J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kitakyushu wins, 1 draw, 3 Sagamihara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Sagamihara 1-2 KitakyushuJ3 League
Aug 23, 2025Sagamihara 1-0 KitakyushuJ3 League
Apr 20, 2025Kitakyushu 1-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
Oct 6, 2024Sagamihara 0-3 KitakyushuJ3 League
Feb 24, 2024Kitakyushu 0-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
Sep 30, 2023Sagamihara 2-1 KitakyushuJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu1.31.8310/159/15
Sagamihara1.91.7410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 14th in J3 League (13 points from 11 matches) and Sagamihara sit 5th (21 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Sagamihara11632201221
14Kitakyushu11344151913

A question about Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara?
The Footlab AI model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara played?
Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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