Fukushima United vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fukushima United vs Kagoshima United?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Albirex Niigata(away) | 4-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fukushima United win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Kagoshima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Fukushima United 2-2 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| May 17, 2025 | Kagoshima United 5-0 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Fukushima United 0-1 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Kagoshima United 3-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Fukushima United 1-1 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Kagoshima United 2-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Fukushima United vs Kagoshima United on Aug 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukushima United | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Kagoshima United?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Fukushima United.
- Where and when is Fukushima United vs Kagoshima United played?
- Fukushima United vs Kagoshima United is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsNara Club
- Mar 13, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsKanazawa
- Mar 13, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsKochi United
- Mar 13, 2027Ehime FCvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Mar 13, 2027Thespakusatsu GunmavsFC Gifu
- Mar 13, 2027KitakyushuvsSagamihara
- Mar 13, 2027FC RyukyuvsOsaka
- Mar 13, 2027Parceiro NaganovsGainare Tottori