Pardubice vs Zlin: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)CFIG Arena, Pardubice
The Footlab model makes Pardubice the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Zlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pardubice vs Zlin?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Pardubice (1,870) and Zlin (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pardubice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zlin have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 2-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pardubice win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Zlin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pardubice 3-1 Zlin | Czech Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Zlin 2-2 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Pardubice 2-0 Zlin | Czech Liga |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Zlin 1-1 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Pardubice 0-1 Zlin | Czech Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Pardubice 1-2 Zlin | Czech Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Pardubice score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zlin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pardubice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Zlin | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pardubice sit 13th in Czech Liga (1 points from 5 matches) and Zlin sit 16th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pardubice | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 16 | Zlin | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pardubice vs Zlin?
- The Footlab model makes Pardubice the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Zlin.
- Where and when is Pardubice vs Zlin played?
- Pardubice vs Zlin is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at CFIG Arena, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.