FK Jablonec vs Plzen: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Plzen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Plzen?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate FK Jablonec (2,012) and Plzen (2,054).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Jablonec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Plzen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlin(home) | 3-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FK Jablonec win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Plzen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Plzen 5-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | FK Jablonec 3-3 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Plzen 1-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| May 24, 2025 | Plzen 4-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Plzen 3-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | FK Jablonec 0-0 Plzen | Czech Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Plzen score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Plzen | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Jablonec sit 6th in Czech Liga (9 points from 3 matches) and Plzen sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Jablonec vs Plzen?
- The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Plzen.
- Where and when is FK Jablonec vs Plzen played?
- FK Jablonec vs Plzen is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Střelnice, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.