Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lokotrans Aréna, Mladá Boleslav
The Footlab model makes Mlada Boleslav the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Teplice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Mlada Boleslav (1,970) and Teplice (1,931).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mlada Boleslav have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Teplice have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-2 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-4 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mlada Boleslav win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Teplice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav 0-2 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav 0-0 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Teplice 2-3 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | Mlada Boleslav 1-0 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Mlada Boleslav 2-1 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Teplice 1-2 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mlada Boleslav score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Teplice score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Teplice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mlada Boleslav sit 2nd in Czech Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Teplice sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Teplice | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?
- The Footlab model makes Mlada Boleslav the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Teplice.
- Where and when is Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice played?
- Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lokotrans Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.