Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Městský fotbalový stadion Miroslava Valenty, Uherské Hradiště
The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Slovácko. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno?
Zbrojovka Brno starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,044 vs 1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovácko have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Zbrojovka Brno have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(home) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-5 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Slovácko win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Zbrojovka Brno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2024 | Zbrojovka Brno 1-0 Slovácko | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Slovácko 1-0 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Zbrojovka Brno 2-2 Slovácko | Czech Liga |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Slovácko 4-2 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Zbrojovka Brno 2-1 Slovácko | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovácko on Jun 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Slovácko score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zbrojovka Brno score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovácko | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovácko sit 14th in Czech Liga (1 points from 5 matches) and Zbrojovka Brno sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Slovácko | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno?
- The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Slovácko.
- Where and when is Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno played?
- Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Městský fotbalový stadion Miroslava Valenty, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.