Stade Brestois 29 vs Lille: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
The Footlab model makes Lille the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Lille?
Lille starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,104 vs 1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Brestois 29 have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Lille have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Angers(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Everton(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stade Brestois 29 win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Lille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lille 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 3-3 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Lille 3-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Lille 1-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Brestois 29 score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lille | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Brestois 29 sit 6th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Lille sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lille?
- The Footlab model makes Lille the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Stade Brestois 29 vs Lille played?
- Stade Brestois 29 vs Lille is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Francis-Le Blé, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.