Parma vs Atalanta: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
The Footlab AI model makes Atalanta the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Parma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atalanta wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parma vs Atalanta?
Atalanta starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (2,061 vs 1,860).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Parma vs Atalanta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Parma
3-4-2-1- 23N. Elphege
- 14E. Valeri
- 15E. Del Prato
- 19E. Touré
- 16M. Keita
- 4V. Sierro
- 80G. Fabbian
- 37M. Troilo
- 34Diego Carlos
- 29F. Carboni
- 40E. Corvi
Atalanta
4-3-3- 17C. De Ketelaere
- 11J. Rowe
- 90N. Krstović
- 13Éderson
- 19F. Kessié
- 10L. Samardžić
- 42G. Scalvini
- 16R. Bellanova
- 31T. Kristensen
- 77D. Zappacosta
- 29M. Carnesecchi
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parma have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Atalanta have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monza(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Parma wins, 1 draw, 3 Atalanta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Atalanta 4-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Parma 1-1 Atalanta | Serie A |
| May 25, 2025 | Atalanta 2-3 Parma | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Parma 1-3 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Parma 4-1 Atalanta | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2021 | Parma 2-5 Atalanta | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Parma score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atalanta score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Atalanta | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parma sit 18th in Serie A (4 points from 6 matches) and Atalanta sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Parma vs Atalanta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parma vs Atalanta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atalanta the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Parma.
- Where and when is Parma vs Atalanta played?
- Parma vs Atalanta is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ennio Tardini, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.