Match

Genoa vs Sassuolo: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova

GenoaSassuolo

The Footlab AI model makes Genoa the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sassuolo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Genoa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Genoa vs Sassuolo?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Genoa (1,895) and Sassuolo (1,946).

37%28%35%
Genoa winDrawSassuolo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Genoa vs Sassuolo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Genoa

3-4-2-1
  1. 18M. Osmajić
  1. 32M. Frendrup
  2. 3K. Ehizibue
  3. 77M. Ellertsson
  4. 10Junior Messias
  5. 92S. El Shaarawy
  6. 25H. Traorè
  1. 5L. Østigård
  2. 34S. Otoa
  3. 22J. Vásquez
  1. 1J. Bijlow

Sassuolo

4-3-3
  1. 45A. Laurienté
  2. 94S. Esposito
  3. 10D. Berardi
  1. 18N. Matić
  2. 50D. Bakola
  3. 17Vasilije Adžić
  1. 3J. Doig
  2. 16F. Leysen
  3. 15D. Ćaleta-Car
  4. 20I. Van der Brempt
  1. 49A. Murić

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:57 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genoa have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sassuolo have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Genoa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Fiorentina(home)2-1Serie A
Oct 2, 2026Rapid(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Parma(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 15, 2026Sudtirol(home)1-0Coppa Italia
Sep 12, 2026Frosinone(home)1-1Serie A
Sassuolo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026AC Milan(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 18, 2026Monza(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Juventus(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Bologna(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 2, 2026Frosinone(home)1-1Coppa Italia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Genoa wins, 2 draws, 0 Sassuolo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Genoa 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
Nov 3, 2025Sassuolo 1-2 GenoaSerie A
May 12, 2024Genoa 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
Dec 22, 2023Sassuolo 1-2 GenoaSerie A
Jan 6, 2022Sassuolo 1-1 GenoaSerie A
Oct 17, 2021Genoa 2-2 SassuoloSerie A

Last archived meeting: Genoa vs Sassuolo on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Genoa score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sassuolo score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Genoa1.11.928/157/15
Sassuolo1.61.7212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Genoa sit 17th in Serie A (4 points from 6 matches) and Sassuolo sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Sassuolo622210108
17Genoa61145114

A question about Genoa vs Sassuolo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Genoa vs Sassuolo?
The Footlab AI model makes Genoa the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sassuolo.
Where and when is Genoa vs Sassuolo played?
Genoa vs Sassuolo is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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