Frosinone vs AS Roma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1. If AS Roma wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frosinone vs AS Roma?
AS Roma starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,183 vs 2,029).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Frosinone vs AS Roma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 73P. Masini
- 10R. Schmid
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 20A. Oyono
- 2G. Cittadini
- 30I. Monterisi
- 22L. Palmisani
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 14D. Malen
- 21P. Dybala
- 43Wesley
- 17M. Koné
- 20N. Molina
- 15M. de Roon
- 4B. Cristante
- 22Hermoso
- 23G. Mancini
- 5E. Ndicka
- 95P. Gollini
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frosinone have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; AS Roma have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Como(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torino(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Frosinone wins, 0 draws, 6 AS Roma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | Frosinone 0-3 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2023 | AS Roma 2-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Feb 23, 2019 | Frosinone 2-3 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2018 | AS Roma 4-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Jan 30, 2016 | AS Roma 3-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Frosinone 0-2 AS Roma | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Frosinone score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AS Roma score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| AS Roma | 2.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frosinone sit 4th in Serie A (13 points from 7 matches) and AS Roma sit 3rd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Frosinone vs AS Roma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs AS Roma?
- The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is Frosinone vs AS Roma played?
- Frosinone vs AS Roma is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Benito Stirpe, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.