Juventus vs Fiorentina: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Torino
The Footlab model makes Juventus the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Fiorentina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Juventus starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (2,175 vs 2,066).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventus have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Fiorentina have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nice(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Watford(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | QPR(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Juventus win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Fiorentina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Fiorentina 3-0 Juventus | Serie A |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Fiorentina 0-1 Juventus | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Juventus vs Fiorentina on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juventus score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorentina score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 1.1 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Fiorentina | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
- The Footlab model makes Juventus the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Fiorentina.
- Where and when is Juventus vs Fiorentina played?
- Juventus vs Fiorentina is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.