Match

Juventus vs Fiorentina: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Torino

JuventusFiorentina

The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Fiorentina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Juventus wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Juventus vs Fiorentina?

Juventus starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,954).

56%25%19%
Juventus winDrawFiorentina win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Juventus vs Fiorentina

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Juventus

4-2-3-1
  1. 9R. Kolo Muani
  1. 12Douglas Luiz
  2. 22W. McKennie
  3. 7Francisco Conceição
  4. 31N. González
  5. 29P. Sarr
  1. 3Bremer
  2. 2Z. Çelik
  3. 15P. Kalulu
  4. 26J. Lucumí
  1. 25G. Vicario

Fiorentina

4-2-3-1
  1. 23Beto
  1. 30Franco Mastantuono
  2. 27C. Ndour
  3. 44N. Fagioli
  4. 42C. Inao Oulaï
  5. 29W. Gnonto
  1. 3R. Drăgușin
  2. 20Álex Jiménez
  3. 6L. Ranieri
  4. 21Valde
  1. 43David de Gea

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventus have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Fiorentina have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Juventus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Cagliari(away)1-1Serie A
Oct 2, 2026Cremonese(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Atalanta(home)2-0Serie A
Sep 17, 2026NEC Nijmegen(home)5-0UEFA Europa League
Sep 13, 2026Sassuolo(away)2-3Serie A
Fiorentina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Genoa(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Napoli(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 15, 2026Pisa(home)3-0Coppa Italia
Sep 11, 2026Venezia(away)4-2Serie A
Sep 5, 2026Torino(home)1-2Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Juventus wins, 2 draws, 2 Fiorentina wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Juventus 0-2 FiorentinaSerie A
Nov 22, 2025Fiorentina 1-1 JuventusSerie A
Mar 16, 2025Fiorentina 3-0 JuventusSerie A
Dec 29, 2024Juventus 2-2 FiorentinaSerie A
Apr 7, 2024Juventus 1-0 FiorentinaSerie A
Nov 5, 2023Fiorentina 0-1 JuventusSerie A

Last archived meeting: Juventus vs Fiorentina on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Juventus score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorentina score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Juventus1.50.795/154/15
Fiorentina2.01.5310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Juventus sit 6th in Serie A (11 points from 6 matches) and Fiorentina sit 19th (4 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Juventus63219511
19Fiorentina61147144

A question about Juventus vs Fiorentina?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Fiorentina.
Where and when is Juventus vs Fiorentina played?
Juventus vs Fiorentina is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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