Parma vs Inter: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
The Footlab model makes Inter the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Parma. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parma vs Inter?
Inter is a heavy favourite: 2,298 Elo points against 1,940 — a 359-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parma have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Inter have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Catania(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Monza(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Parma win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Inter win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Inter 2-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Parma 0-2 Inter | Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Parma 2-2 Inter | Serie A |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Inter 3-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Inter 2-1 Parma | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Parma 0-2 Inter | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Parma score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Inter score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Inter | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parma sit 16th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and Inter sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parma vs Inter?
- The Footlab model makes Inter the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Parma.
- Where and when is Parma vs Inter played?
- Parma vs Inter is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ennio Tardini, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.