Inter vs Parma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 81%, against 14% for a draw and 5% for Parma. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter vs Parma?
Inter is a heavy favourite: 2,301 Elo points against 1,923, a 378-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter vs Parma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter
3-5-2- 9M. Thuram
- 10Lautaro Martínez
- 23N. Barella
- 32F. Dimarco
- 17A. Diouf
- 7P. Zieliński
- 21C. Jones
- 95A. Bastoni
- 31Y. Bisseck
- 25M. Akanji
- 1Josep Martínez
Known absences
H. ÇalhanoğluDoubtful · Muscle injury
J. StonesDoubtful · Injured
Parma
3-4-2-1- 19E. Touré
- 14E. Valeri
- 15E. Del Prato
- 16M. Keita
- 4V. Sierro
- 27S. Britschgi
- 32C. Ordoñez
- 37M. Troilo
- 34Diego Carlos
- 72D. Drobnic
- 40E. Corvi
Known absences
H. NicolussiOut · Groin injury
P. AlmqvistOut · Calf injury
Adrián BernabéDoubtful · Thigh injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Parma have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monza(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Inter wins, 1 draw, 0 Parma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Inter 2-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Parma 0-2 Inter | Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Parma 2-2 Inter | Serie A |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Inter 3-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Inter 2-1 Parma | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Parma 0-2 Inter | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Parma score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Parma | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter sit 2nd in Serie A (13 points from 5 matches) and Parma sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
A question about Inter vs Parma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter vs Parma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 81%, against 14% for a draw and 5% for Parma.
- Where and when is Inter vs Parma played?
- Inter vs Parma is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.