Pärnu vs Flora II: result 4-1 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular SeasonKick-off on July 27, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
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What was the result of Pärnu vs Flora II?
Pärnu won 4-1 on July 27, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 7′Henri HansonPärnu
- 14′Henri HansonPärnu
- 31′Martin KaseFlora II
- 44′Henri HansonPärnu
- 65′Toomas PentPärnu
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pärnu have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Flora II have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2014 | Kuressaare(away) | 3-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 11, 2014 | Kiviõli Irbis(away) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 7, 2014 | Tulevik(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 2, 2014 | Rakvere Tarvas(home) | 5-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 15, 2014 | Puuma(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2014 | Tulevik(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 11, 2014 | Rakvere Tarvas(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 6, 2014 | Puuma(away) | 5-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 2, 2014 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 15, 2014 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pärnu win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Flora II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2014 | Flora II 7-1 Pärnu | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 13, 2014 | Pärnu 3-5 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Pärnu 0-3 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Flora II 2-1 Pärnu | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 29, 2012 | Pärnu 1-1 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Flora II 2-1 Pärnu | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Pärnu score 3.3 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Flora II score 2.6 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pärnu | 3.3 | 2.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Flora II | 2.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flora II | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Flora II | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 57 | 42 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy