Pärnu vs Tartu Kalev: result 2-3 and analysis
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 24, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
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What was the result of Pärnu vs Tartu Kalev?
Tartu Kalev won 2-3 on October 24, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 4′K. KaasikTartu Kalev (pen.)
- 37′?Pärnu
- 45′?Tartu Kalev
- 62′?Tartu Kalev
- 71′?Pärnu
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pärnu have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Tartu Kalev have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 3-6 | Esiliiga B |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Legion(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Luunja(home) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Narva U21(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Läänemaa Haapsalu(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Narva U21(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Tulevik(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Luunja(home) | 1-4 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Kuressaare II(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Pärnu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tartu Kalev win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2024 | Tartu Kalev 2-1 Pärnu | Esiliiga B |
| May 11, 2024 | Pärnu 2-2 Tartu Kalev | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Tartu Kalev 0-0 Pärnu | Esiliiga B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pärnu score 1.2 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Kalev score 1.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pärnu | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tartu Kalev | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tartu Kalev | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 64 | 46 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy