Tartu Kalev vs Pärnu: result 2-1 and analysis
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 20Kick-off on July 27, 2024 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, Tartu
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What was the result of Tartu Kalev vs Pärnu?
Tartu Kalev won 2-1 on July 27, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 31′?Tartu Kalev
- 36′?Pärnu
- 58′?Tartu Kalev
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Kalev have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pärnu have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2024 | Luunja(away) | 1-7 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Legion(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Tulevik(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Läänemaa Haapsalu(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Kuressaare II(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2024 | Kuressaare II(home) | 2-4 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Narva U21(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Luunja(away) | 0-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Kuressaare II(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Tulevik(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tartu Kalev win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Pärnu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2024 | Pärnu 2-2 Tartu Kalev | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Tartu Kalev 0-0 Pärnu | Esiliiga B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Kalev score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pärnu score 1.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Kalev | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Pärnu | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tartu Kalev | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 64 | 46 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy