Partick vs Raith Rovers: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Wyre Stadium at Firhill, Glasgow
The Footlab model makes Partick the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Raith Rovers. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Partick vs Raith Rovers?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Partick (1,883) and Raith Rovers (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Partick have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Raith Rovers have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Partick win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Raith Rovers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Raith Rovers 0-2 Partick | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Partick 0-0 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Raith Rovers 2-0 Partick | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Partick 3-2 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Partick 0-0 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Raith Rovers 3-0 Partick | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Raith Rovers vs Partick on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Partick score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Raith Rovers score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partick | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Raith Rovers | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Partick sit 3rd in Championship (7 points from 3 matches) and Raith Rovers sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Partick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Partick vs Raith Rovers?
- The Footlab model makes Partick the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Raith Rovers.
- Where and when is Partick vs Raith Rovers played?
- Partick vs Raith Rovers is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Wyre Stadium at Firhill, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.