Pasaia KE vs Sodupe: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, Errenteria
The Footlab AI model makes Pasaia KE the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sodupe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pasaia KE wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pasaia KE vs Sodupe?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Pasaia KE (1,627) and Sodupe (1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pasaia KE vs Sodupe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pasaia KE
Not enough data to predict the Pasaia KE lineup.
Sodupe
Not enough data to predict the Sodupe lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pasaia KE have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sodupe have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Derio(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Touring(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Pasaia KE wins, 1 draw, 0 Sodupe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | Pasaia KE 1-1 Sodupe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Sodupe 0-1 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Sodupe 0-2 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pasaia KE score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sodupe score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasaia KE | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sodupe | 1.0 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pasaia KE sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (10 points from 9 matches) and Sodupe sit 12th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 11 |
| 13 | Pasaia KE | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 10 |
A question about Pasaia KE vs Sodupe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pasaia KE vs Sodupe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pasaia KE the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sodupe.
- Where and when is Pasaia KE vs Sodupe played?
- Pasaia KE vs Sodupe is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.