Beasain vs San Ignacio: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estado Municipal de Loinaz, Beasain
The Footlab AI model makes Beasain the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for San Ignacio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Beasain wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beasain vs San Ignacio?
On Elo ratings, Beasain has 1,839 points and San Ignacio 1,776.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Beasain vs San Ignacio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Beasain
Not enough data to predict the Beasain lineup.
San Ignacio
Not enough data to predict the San Ignacio lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beasain have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; San Ignacio have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lagun Onak(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Derio(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Durango(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Touring(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Beasain wins, 3 draws, 1 San Ignacio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | San Ignacio 0-1 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Beasain 1-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | San Ignacio 1-1 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Beasain 1-1 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 15, 2022 | San Ignacio 0-0 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Beasain 0-2 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: San Ignacio vs Beasain on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Beasain score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Ignacio score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beasain | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| San Ignacio | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beasain sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (7 points from 6 matches) and San Ignacio sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 12 | Beasain | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Beasain vs San Ignacio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beasain vs San Ignacio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beasain the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for San Ignacio.
- Where and when is Beasain vs San Ignacio played?
- Beasain vs San Ignacio is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estado Municipal de Loinaz, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.