Durango vs Real Sociedad III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tabira, Durango
The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Real Sociedad III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Durango wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,757 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durango vs Real Sociedad III?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Durango (1,782) and Real Sociedad III (1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durango vs Real Sociedad III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durango
Not enough data to predict the Durango lineup.
Real Sociedad III
Not enough data to predict the Real Sociedad III lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 02:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durango have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Real Sociedad III have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Touring(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | R. Union B(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Durango wins, 0 draws, 3 Real Sociedad III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Sociedad III 4-0 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Durango 0-1 Real Sociedad III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Real Sociedad III 1-0 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad III vs Durango on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durango score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad III score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durango | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Sociedad III | 2.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durango sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (13 points from 8 matches) and Real Sociedad III sit 10th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Durango vs Real Sociedad III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durango vs Real Sociedad III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Real Sociedad III.
- Where and when is Durango vs Real Sociedad III played?
- Durango vs Real Sociedad III is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tabira, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.