Paşcani vs CSM Adjud: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul CFR, Paşcani
The Footlab model makes Paşcani the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for CSM Adjud. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paşcani vs CSM Adjud?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Paşcani (1,395) and CSM Adjud (1,379).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paşcani have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; CSM Adjud have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2025 | Soimii Gura Humorului(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 4-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 30, 2025 | USV Iaşi(home) | 5-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Răuceşti(away) | 4-0 | Cupa României |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Politehnica Iasi(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | FC Bacău II(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Paşcani score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CSM Adjud score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paşcani | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| CSM Adjud | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CSM Adjud | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paşcani vs CSM Adjud?
- The Footlab model makes Paşcani the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for CSM Adjud.
- Where and when is Paşcani vs CSM Adjud played?
- Paşcani vs CSM Adjud is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul CFR, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.