Pavonese vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caldiero Terme wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Caldiero Terme?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Pavonese (1,706) and Caldiero Terme (1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Caldiero Terme
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Caldiero Terme
Not enough data to predict the Caldiero Terme lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Piacenza(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Este(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nibbiano & Valtidone(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pavonese score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 7; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavonese | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| Caldiero Terme | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavonese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone B (7 points from 6 matches) and Caldiero Terme sit 4th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caldiero Terme | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Pavonese vs Caldiero Terme?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Caldiero Terme?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Caldiero Terme played?
- Pavonese vs Caldiero Terme is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027ChievovsScanzorosciate
- Apr 4, 2027Virtus VeronavsReal Calepina
- Apr 4, 2027TritiumvsMilan II
- Apr 4, 2027Villa VallevsPiacenza
- Apr 4, 2027Virtus Ciserano BergamovsFiorenzuola
- Apr 4, 2027Leon Monza e BrianzavsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Apr 4, 2027Club MilanovsPro Palazzolo
- Apr 4, 2027Rovato VertovesevsBrusaporto