Virtus Verona vs Pavonese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Gavagnin-Nocini, Verona
The Footlab model makes Pavonese the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Virtus Verona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Verona vs Pavonese?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Verona have 0 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats; Pavonese have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Verona vs Pavonese?
- The Footlab model makes Pavonese the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Virtus Verona.
- Where and when is Virtus Verona vs Pavonese played?
- Virtus Verona vs Pavonese is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Gavagnin-Nocini, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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