Penafiel vs Academica: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 21, 2016 at 10:15 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Academica?
Penafiel won 1-0 on August 21, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 54′Pedro Manuel Mendes RibeiroPenafiel (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Academica have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2016 | Portimonense(away) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 6, 2016 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| May 22, 2015 | FC Porto(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 17, 2015 | GIL Vicente(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 9, 2015 | Benfica(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2016 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Olhanense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| May 14, 2016 | Tondela(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 7, 2016 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 1, 2016 | U. Madeira(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Penafiel win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Academica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2015 | Penafiel 0-0 Academica | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 21, 2014 | Academica 0-0 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Academica score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Academica | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penafiel sit 14th in Segunda Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Academica sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy