Penafiel vs Amarante: result 1-0 and analysis
Taça de Portugal3rd RoundKick-off on October 15, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Amarante?
Penafiel won 1-0 on October 15, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Amarante have 2, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2016 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 28, 2016 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Oliveirense(away) | 5-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Fafe(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2016 | Penalva Castelo(away) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Cerva(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Amarante score 3.0 and concede 0.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Amarante | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy