Sporting CP B vs Amarante: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, Alcochete
The Footlab model makes Amarante the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Amarante?
Amarante starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,992 vs 1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP B have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Amarante have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sporting CP B win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Amarante win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Sporting CP B 2-0 Amarante | Liga 3 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Amarante 0-1 Sporting CP B | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Sporting CP B vs Amarante on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP B | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Amarante | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP B sit 6th in Segunda Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Amarante sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP B vs Amarante?
- The Footlab model makes Amarante the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Sporting CP B.
- Where and when is Sporting CP B vs Amarante played?
- Sporting CP B vs Amarante is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.