SC Covilha vs Freamunde: result 1-0 and analysis
Taça de Portugal3rd RoundKick-off on October 14, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto, Covilhã
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What was the result of SC Covilha vs Freamunde?
SC Covilha won 1-0 on October 14, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, SC Covilha have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Freamunde have 2, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2016 | Famalicao(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 5, 2016 | Academica(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Guimaraes B(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Joane(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 21, 2016 | FC Porto B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2016 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Varzim(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Cerva(away) | 5-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 21, 2016 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Benfica B(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Covilha score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 11; Freamunde score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Covilha | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/11 | 5/11 |
| Freamunde | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 4/11 | 4/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy