Penafiel vs Arouca: result 1-2 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 12, 2018 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Arouca?
Arouca won 1-2 on August 12, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 30′A. BukiaArouca
- 57′Jorge Da Costa PiresPenafiel
- 68′Fábio FortesArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Arouca have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2018 | SC Covilha(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| May 5, 2018 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Arouca(away) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Oliveirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Leixoes(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2018 | Oliveirense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| May 6, 2018 | Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Penafiel(home) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Leixoes(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Penafiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2018 | Arouca 1-4 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 17, 2017 | Penafiel 2-0 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 19, 2015 | Penafiel 0-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Arouca 0-1 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Arouca | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy