Penafiel vs Estoril: result 4-2 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 28, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
Full time
What was the result of Penafiel vs Estoril?
Penafiel won 4-2 on April 28, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 10′Rui Miguel Teixeira CaetanoPenafiel
- 13′Rubén BelimaEstoril
- 44′Fábio AbreuPenafiel
- 53′Gustavo Nascimento da CostaPenafiel
- 78′Jorge Da Costa PiresPenafiel
- 90′Fábio AbreuEstoril (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Estoril have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2019 | Farense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Varzim(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 8, 2019 | Guimaraes B(away) | 5-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Benfica B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2019 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Farense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 7, 2019 | SC Covilha(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Benfica B(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Penafiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2019 | Estoril 0-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 21, 2015 | Estoril 3-3 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Penafiel 1-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Estoril | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy