Penafiel vs Nacional: result 1-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 29, 2020 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Nacional?
Penafiel and Nacional drew 1-1 on February 29, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 85′PerottiNacional
- 90′Jorge Da Costa PiresPenafiel (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Nacional have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | Mafra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 17, 2020 | Chaves(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Cova De Piedade(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | Academica(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Vilafranquense(home) | 5-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Mafra(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Leixoes(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Chaves(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Penafiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2019 | Nacional 2-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Penafiel 0-3 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Nacional 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 26, 2015 | Nacional 2-0 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 13, 2014 | Penafiel 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.2 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Nacional | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy