Penafiel vs Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2021 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Nacional?
Penafiel won 1-0 on September 12, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 38′Rui PedroPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nacional have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2021 | Trofense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Benfica B(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2021 | Vilafranquense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2021 | Estrela(away) | 1-0 | Taça da Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2021 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 22, 2021 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Vilafranquense(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2021 | Benfica B(away) | 0-5 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Estoril(home) | 1-2 | Taça da Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Penafiel win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | Penafiel 1-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Nacional 2-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Penafiel 0-3 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Nacional 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 26, 2015 | Nacional 2-0 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 13, 2014 | Penafiel 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy