Pennarossa vs San Giovanni: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova, Chiesanuova
The Footlab AI model makes San Giovanni the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Pennarossa. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Giovanni wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
San Giovanni starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,078 vs 955).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pennarossa vs San Giovanni
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pennarossa
Not enough data to predict the Pennarossa lineup.
San Giovanni
Not enough data to predict the San Giovanni lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pennarossa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; San Giovanni have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Folgore(home) | 1-5 | Campionato |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fiorentino(home) | 3-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 1-6 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Cailungo(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Titano |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Murata(home) | 1-4 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cailungo(home) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Murata(away) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Cosmos(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Titano |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 0-4 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pennarossa win, 1 draw, 4 San Giovanni wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | San Giovanni 3-0 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Pennarossa 2-1 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Mar 2, 2025 | San Giovanni 2-2 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Pennarossa 0-5 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Apr 6, 2024 | San Giovanni 9-0 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Pennarossa 0-3 San Giovanni | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: San Giovanni vs Pennarossa on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pennarossa score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; San Giovanni score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pennarossa | 1.2 | 2.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| San Giovanni | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pennarossa sit 14th in Campionato (3 points from 5 matches) and San Giovanni sit 12th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | San Giovanni | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Pennarossa | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 3 |
A question about Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Giovanni the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Pennarossa.
- Where and when is Pennarossa vs San Giovanni played?
- Pennarossa vs San Giovanni is played on October 23, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.