Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle, Serravalle
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Juvenes / Dogana. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus?
Virtus is a heavy favourite: 1,503 Elo points against 1,102, a 401-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Juvenes / Dogana
Not enough data to predict the Juvenes / Dogana lineup.
Virtus
4-3-3- 90S. Scappini
- 11T. Lombardi
- 93G. Piscitella
- 17A. Golinucci
- 10I. Buonocunto
- 21A. Amati
- 15N. Gori
- 34U. De Lucia
- 30Mirco De Santis
- 45E. Ciacci
- 39A. Passaniti
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juvenes / Dogana have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Virtus have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Folgore(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Titano |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Libertas(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 5-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Libertas(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Murata(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Titano |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Fiorentino(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Juvenes / Dogana wins, 1 draw, 5 Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana 0-2 Virtus | Campionato |
| May 3, 2026 | Virtus 0-0 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Virtus 2-0 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Juvenes / Dogana 0-3 Virtus | Campionato |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Juvenes / Dogana 0-2 Virtus | Campionato |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Virtus 1-0 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juvenes / Dogana score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juvenes / Dogana | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Virtus | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juvenes / Dogana sit 10th in Campionato (3 points from 4 matches) and Virtus sit 4th (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Juvenes / Dogana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
A question about Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Juvenes / Dogana.
- Where and when is Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus played?
- Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus is played on October 23, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.