Briton Ferry vs Penybont: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Old Road, Briton Ferry
The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Briton Ferry. The most likely score is 1-1. If Penybont wins, the most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Briton Ferry vs Penybont?
Penybont starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,980 vs 1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Briton Ferry vs Penybont
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Briton Ferry
4-3-3- 9T. Walters
- 20O. Anderson
- 11C. Hurford
- 8T. Price
- 16M. Bates
- 7R. Owen
- 15L. Cooper
- 2L. Bates
- 3D. Packer
- 18R. George
- 13W. Fuller
Penybont
4-3-3- 7N. Wood
- 23T. Walker
- 20M. Manga
- 4T. Mehew
- 8Owen Robert Pritchard
- 19R. Hill
- 32L. Shephard
- 6M. Davies
- 17D. Jefferies
- 33E. Vaughan
- 22A. Pennock
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Briton Ferry have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Penybont have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Afan United(home) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Briton Ferry win, 3 draws, 2 Penybont wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Penybont 3-2 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Penybont 1-1 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Briton Ferry 0-5 Penybont | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Briton Ferry 0-0 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Penybont 2-2 Briton Ferry | League Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Penybont 0-1 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Briton Ferry on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Briton Ferry score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briton Ferry | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Penybont | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Briton Ferry sit 11th in Premier League (12 points from 13 matches) and Penybont sit 3rd (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 12 |
A question about Briton Ferry vs Penybont?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Briton Ferry vs Penybont?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Briton Ferry.
- Where and when is Briton Ferry vs Penybont played?
- Briton Ferry vs Penybont is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Old Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.